Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.365513 0.416750 0.475597 0.548875 0.638656 0.746380 0.887440
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.293072 0.360268 0.446284 0.567481 0.739104 0.982352 1.371421
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.242430 0.313577 0.411783 0.563337 0.803810 1.196487 1.954521
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.212337 0.285815 0.393540 0.572905 0.887512 1.474673 2.853107
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.182591 0.252358 0.358886 0.545907 0.898765 1.628833 3.651022
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.159064 0.224258 0.326932 0.514788 0.890677 1.739122 4.472709
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.141787 0.203353 0.302958 0.492001 0.891090 1.869610 5.551269
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.136698 0.200957 0.309077 0.525815 1.022814 2.416983 9.365058
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.135856 0.205229 0.327185 0.587550 1.247089 3.450512 20.418377
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.131543 0.202930 0.332805 0.624487 1.427943 4.576601 44.520464
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.126066 0.197867 0.332273 0.647436 1.582377 5.849168 106.788872
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.119213 0.189550 0.324086 0.650229 1.676624 7.011272 268.491260
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.109492 0.175537 0.303622 0.620919 1.659555 7.574532 596.186846
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.102944 0.166994 0.293701 0.617617 1.741926 9.137610 4993.141486
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.096387 0.157840 0.281370 0.605400 1.786855 10.631821 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.092059 0.152577 0.276752 0.613579 1.925395 13.766014 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.085474 0.142331 0.259939 0.583236 1.876593 14.537992 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.079239 0.132348 0.242778 0.548984 1.795717 14.691444 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.074168 0.124361 0.229429 0.524046 1.751480 15.424602 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.073442 0.125028 0.235896 0.560952 2.049003 25.216951 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.074263 0.128913 0.250447 0.628564 2.604802 57.746356 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.073373 0.129135 0.256208 0.669142 3.061298 123.985043 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.071746 0.127637 0.257475 0.694397 3.454230 273.634867 NaN